Game 76, 2015

Dodgers at Marlins, 1:10PM PT, TV: SPNLA

The Dodgers’ lefty Clayton Kershaw (5-5, 3.33 ERA) gets the start against the Marlins’ Tom Koehler (5-4, 3.76 ERA). Kershaw’s last start was a quality one, but all three runs he gave up came on home runs, which he’s given up more often this year than in the past. He may catch a break, though, because Giancarlo Stanton may be sidelined after he hurt his left hand in Friday’s game. Koehler missed his last start with a stiff neck, but his previous one was a good one in which he held the Yankees to one run and three hits over seven innings.

Puig’s torn callus may have healed enough to let him start. It was well enough to let him pinch-hit on Friday and stay in to play the field after that.

Lineup when available.

  • WBBsAs

    Puig is not in lineup after all.

    • john galt

      But why Hernandez instead of SVS?

      • scooplew

        Because Van Slyke had a good game yesterday. LOL.

        • scooplew

          Hernandez is 1-for-2 in his career vs. Koehler, with a home run. Van Slyke is 2-for-4 against Koehler in his career, with a home run and a double. Go figure.

          • foul tip

            As tho anything in baseball is predictable. ;-])

          • scooplew

            Mattingly doesn’t seem to believe much in the “hot hand.”

          • WBBsAs

            Perhaps because SVS has been on the DL recently, not overplaying him? Pure speculation, since it’s impossible to read Mattingly’s mind (if any).

          • Bob_Hendley

            Quique’s been pretty hot of late (OPS 1.034 in last 13 PA). I imagine that Donnie wants to keep him in the rotation for at least 3-4 games a week. SVS at .689 OPS hasn’t been exactly killing righties this year.

        • john galt

          WBBsAS said: since it’s impossible to read Mattingly’s mind (if any).
          That explains most of Mattingly’s decisions. I don’t think they ever give managers logic tests.

  • scooplew

    Stanton’s hand is broken. Out four to six weeks.

  • Washington Post on Vinnie’s 66 seasons.

    • scooplew

      Excellent piece. Thanks.

    • Bob_in_Vegas

      Great story, Link — thanks!
      I loved how the writer calls Vinnie’s voice “medicinal.”
      And one commenter hates the Dodgers but gets MLB Audio just to hear Vin!

  • foul tip

    Daniel Brim of DD with a different take on possible starter targets:

    http://dodgersdigest.com/2015/06/27/starting-pitcher-trade-targets-by-projections/

  • foul tip

    Reports out that Paco Rodriguez will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his left elbow to remove bone spurs. Projected to be out an additional 8 to 10 weeks.

  • scooplew

    The Dodgers are in their 132nd year as a franchise in Brooklyn or Los Angeles. There are fairly complete records for all those seasons except the first two in 1884 and 1885. With 14 steals through 75 games, the Dodgers are on pace to steal 30 bases. This would be their fewest ever. The next fewest was 34 in 1924. The fewest since they’ve been in Los Angeles was 56 in 1967, led by Willie Davis’ 20 steals and Wes Parker’s 10.

    • One might ask why Mr. Lopes is being underutilized.

      • Bob_Hendley

        Dodgers have been successful in only 41% of their attempts. It’s not proven to be a very useful tool this year.

        • WinnipegDave

          The Dodgers are clearly focusing on hitting HR’s this year. (tongue in check kinda sorta)

          • Bob_Hendley

            At this rate, if the Dodgers were to meet the 1967 mark for SB, they would be thrown out 80 times.

          • Bob_in_Vegas

            I guess the thought above — certainly mine — is why not put Davey to work and get them running at a much more acceptable rate? . . . If he HAS worked with them and they’re not able to do it, that’s that.

          • That’s what I meant too. Davey’s a good first base coach, I guess, but a ficus plant could be a good first base coach if you could teach it to yell “Back!”

          • Bob_in_Vegas

            Agree — when he joined them, I didn’t think about anything other than improving the running game.

          • Bob_Hendley

            Without Crawford not real proven stealers on the roster. Joc and Puig have promise, based on speed, and I would assume that Davy has worked with them. For the Dodgers to reach an acceptable rate of success (say around 70%) they would need to steal about 40 more bases without getting caught.

          • Bob_in_Vegas

            I would take 70% starting from now.

      • scooplew

        I also wonder what Mr. Lopes is thinking. Forty years ago, in 1975, a year in which he led the league in steals with 77, he had 28 steals through the end of June.

  • Bob_Hendley

    Turner cranks one!

  • package206

    Remember, I said sweep!

    • john galt

      Want to make it a bet?

      • package206

        Of course.

        • john galt

          Loser has to say that WBBsAs is a nice guy…

          • package206

            OK but that is a real steep bet.

          • john galt

            I don’t think either of us wants to lose…

  • RBI

    JT! Now for CK!

  • RBI

    Bad throw, Dre. And Kershaw missing the back up at third.

    • WBBsAs

      Yelich had third easy. Never shoulda thrown it.

      • RBI

        And now more sloppiness.

  • Bob_in_Vegas

    What a waste!
    The Dodger way to play baseball so far is error-prone.

    • RBI

      Not usually. But today, yes.

      • Bob_Hendley

        Purely counting errors, coming into the game the Dodgers were tied with Fish for fewest (29) in the NL.

        • scooplew

          Before today, the Dodgers had the highest fielding percentage in MLB.

          • Bob_in_Vegas

            That’s nice — and a big turnaround from last year — but the errors today have still led to the runs.

  • package206

    A terrible play by Grandal!!

    • WBBsAs

      Grandal threw a wild pitch?

      • RBI

        He wasn’t positioned well on that one.

        • WBBsAs

          He was in position to block it, but the pitch was so bad it proved impossible.

        • package206

          Hey RBI.

      • package206

        No, Grandal can’t catch. AJ would have had that one easily.

  • WinnipegDave

    This is not a text book defensive inning for the Dodgers!

  • Bob_in_Vegas

    “We have met the enemy and they are us.”

    • WinnipegDave

      Exactly!

  • package206

    Kersh just seems to be getting hit more than last year.

    • WinnipegDave

      He’s not your (one year) older brother’s Kershaw.

    • Bob_in_Vegas

      Was thinking the same thing.
      And they’re running on him more.

      • package206

        He also doesn’t have his catcher every time.

        • Bob_in_Vegas

          Mo and Kennedy were saying opponents have read his movement.

        • He’s been less than stellar with Ellis catching him as well.

          • package206

            Not defensively.

          • WBBsAs

            What does A.J.’s catching have to do with Kershaw’s defense?

          • package206

            Kersh is much more confortable with AJ back there. Besides, its a fact that Grandal could not get along with the Pads pitchers.

          • WBBsAs

            So, that comebacker Kershaw just butchered was Grandal’s fault?

          • So what? AJ Pierzynski can’t get along with anyone, yet he’s had a 15-year career.

          • package206

            So you don’t think its important that Kershaws is confortable with his catcher? Besides, Pierzynski is no Roy Campanlla.

          • package206

            AJ has nothing to do with Kershaw’s defense. I miss spoke.

          • WBBsAs

            That’s not unusual.

          • WinnipegDave

            Ouch.

          • package206

            Its OK Dave, I’m used to it from him.

        • WBBsAs

          Stat of the day: Yesterday, Brett Anderson matched A.J.’s season RBI total. Anderson has 21 ABs, A.J. 70.

          • package206

            There you go cherry picking stats.

          • WBBsAs

            Anderson’s a better RBI guy than A.J., that’s all.

    • RBI

      He was struggling and now he’s struggling and pressing – if that’s an acceptable term for a pitcher…

      • package206

        I think you are right on target.

  • WinnipegDave

    Joc with the missed catch.

  • Bob_Hendley

    Silver lining: Clayton’s drop off on the mound hasn’t really effected his hitting. Came into the game at OPS+ 28, as compared to last year’s 27.

  • Bob_Hendley

    Kershaw seems snakebit.

    • package206

      That is a very true statement.

  • WBBsAs

    Kershaw butchers another comebacker. That’s on Grandal, of course.

  • scooplew

    Rockies lead Giants, 3-0, after two innings. Lincecum was removed after getting hit in the right arm with a line drive in the second inning.

    • WBBsAs

      Gnatfans are rejoicing. Lincescum has worn out this welcome there: “Blessing in disguise that Timmy got hit. He was probably get pulled though anyway shortly. He had nothing today. Nada. Time for him to disappear to the same place he did in the playoffs last year…….”

    • WinnipegDave

      I was about to type my wondering if this season is the “Lincecumation” of Kershaw – but that is really a road no one wants to go down…

      • Bob_in_Vegas

        Many parallels, particularly how high they both were.
        In some ways, I hope there’s something physically wrong with Kersh, so it can be healed.

        • Bob_Hendley

          Not sure what the basis is for this statement. In Timmy’s first CYA year he has a FIP of 2.62 and a WHIP of 1.172. Coming into this game Clayton had a FIP of 2.76 and WHIP of 1.040.

          • WinnipegDave

            Obviously it is a bit hyperbolic. But I wasn’t trying to compare Kershaw’s numbers with Lincecum’s numbers. I was trying to say that Lincecum started his career with good numbers, awards etc and then went down from there – that is, he didn’t sustain his own success. I was saying, perhaps this season is the beginning of that process for Kershaw.

          • Bob_in_Vegas

            I was saying the same thing — individual stats aside, it’s the fact of a 2-time CYA winner and a 3-time (with MVP) struggling.

          • Bob_Hendley

            Even comparing Clayton to Clayton, there is little to indicate this “Lincecumation”. First off, last year was historic for a pitcher and never likely to be replicated. But Clayton’s numbers this year (FIP 2.61 and WHIP 1.037) compare favorably with 2012 (FIP 2.89, WHIP 1.023) when he came in second in CYA voting (and many thought he should have taken the hardware home). And we know that Clayton has historically been a second half pitcher.

    • WinnipegDave

      3-3 now.

  • WinnipegDave

    And here come the Dodgers!

  • Bob_Hendley

    Ha! Whatever we got seems that the Fish have caught it as well.

  • scooplew

    Well, at least Joc didn’t strike out this time.

  • scooplew

    Only 64 pitches through five for Kershaw. At that rate, he would have 103 pitches through eight innings. Let’s get the lead, Kershaw pitches eight, and Jansen gets the save.

  • WBBsAs

    At The Phone Booth, Rox retake the lead over the Gnats. Now 5-3 in top of fourth.

  • scooplew

    Looking at the video of Lincecum being struck in the pitching arm by the line drive, it could be broken. He jumped around in pain and the ball caromed to Posey at first who threw out the runner trying to score from third.

    • WBBsAs

      That would seem a real possibility, but the Gnats wouldn’t miss him much. He’s been pretty bad this year.

  • Bob_Hendley

    Quite a battle!

  • package206

    That’s the MVP I know!!

    • scooplew

      For sure. Now let’s get the lead.

  • john galt

    Mattingly has Puig hit for Hernandez. I would have had Puig hit for Rollins and move Hernandez to short.

    • package206

      Man, I hope I don’t lose my bet today!

  • Bob_in_Vegas

    As always, gotta score to win.
    Of course, also can’t give runs away, so even with the meager 2 they’ve scored, LA “should” be leading.

  • package206

    No range for Rollins! Matter of fact, I think Hanley would have had that one.

    • scooplew

      Mattingly has a blind spot, it would seem, for Rollins, who, despite his recent improvement, is still hitting only .211.

      • package206

        Or maybe he has orders.

  • scooplew

    In his last 11 games, including today, Ethier is now 3-for-30, with three singles and no RBIs.

    • package206

      Maybe Guerrero needs to play a few games??

      • WBBsAs

        Guerrero played the last several games, and wasn’t much better. Ethier is a platoon player.

    • Bob_Hendley

      He scalded the ball several times today.

  • WinnipegDave

    That run would have been so typical for Kershaw this year.

  • scooplew

    Kershaw today: 7 innings, 7 hits, 1 earned run, 0 walks, 9 strikeouts. And he stands to be the losing pitcher.

    • Bob_in_Vegas

      Usual suspect: offense.

  • WBBsAs

    From Mr. Weisman. Is it a bit early to say Kershaw’s washed up? https://twitter.com/DodgerInsider/status/614919215787720704

    • scooplew

      And he’s 2-2 this month and on the hook for another loss.

  • john galt

    Maybe tomorrow we should have every batter wear a long red wig up to the plate, maybe they could hit then…

    • package206

      Galt, I am not sure I can live up to the bet?

      • john galt

        I understand.

        • package206

          See above

  • scooplew

    Rockies lead the Giants, 5-4, after 6.

  • scooplew

    I hope I am wrong, but I would not have pulled Howell for Garcia regardless of what side of the plate the batter is standing on.

  • package206

    Grandal couldn’t throw out a runner if his life depended on it.

    • WBBsAs

      By that standard, A.J. is already dead.

    • scooplew

      Should we put him to the test?

    • He’s at 29% this year, not great but not horrible.Try to divorce your dislike of his past PED abuse from his performance on the field.

      • Bob_in_Vegas

        It’s actually close to the norm.
        I heard on the evening game that across the board, teams are not stealing and the average success rate is just under 70%.

  • WinnipegDave

    Okay JT, start off the 9th with a sweet extra base hit.

  • WBBsAs

    Pretty good performance by Yimi there.

    • scooplew

      I must agree.

  • scooplew

    And, if you are scoring, Turner, Gonzalez and Ethier are coming up. (Also if you are not scoring.)

  • WinnipegDave

    Not looking good here.

  • Bob_in_Vegas

    Give away runs
    +
    Can’t score runs
    =
    another loss

  • Kershaw is undoubtedly muttering to himself about runs and errors.

    • Bob_in_Vegas

      Can’t see Zack being too eager to go out there manana — his performance last time was even better and he got nothing.

      • WBBsAs

        These are professionals. I doubt they worry much about things they can’t control.

  • WBBsAs
  • scooplew

    What a disheartening, dismaying, disgusting display. And Kershaw slips below .500 once more this season. We’re 3-3 on this road trip, having lost the three games that Kershaw and Greinke have started and having won the other three. Bizarre. Should we be pleased that it’s Greinke’s turn tomorrow?

    • Bob_Hendley

      I am happy that it’s Greinke. He almost always gives us an opportunity to win.

  • package206

    WBB, contrary to what some may think, I think you are a nice guy.

    • WBBsAs

      I am not nice. I am a realist and a pragmatist.

  • package206

    Giants take the lead 7-5

  • john galt

    I officially call for Mattingly’s head. I think we have talented players. I don’t think Mattingly has what it takes to get their best performance. I know, it’s easy for me to say it… But it needs to be said. And done.

    • package206

      I am sure that at some point the FO will agree and terminate Donnie. I said it before the season started and during the season. At no time will the FO be accountable for the failure of the team if it does fail. I said that Donnie will be the fall guy and he will and he doesn’t even see it coming. This is not a rant about the FO.

      • Bob_Hendley

        ‘Tis the way of baseball (they all see it coming).

        • package206

          I agree that Donnie did put pressure on the FO to resign him but there is also no mistake that the FO gutted and revamped the team after two reasonably successful seasons. Though they did not make the WS they were not far away in my opinion. The FO is so convinced that it made the right decisions that they will not be able to admit mistake in my opinion and they will dismiss Donnie. I am not Donnie’s biggest fan but I do not believe he is the whole problem as you can’t be an eagle when you are surrounded by turkeys.

          • Bob_Hendley

            OK, but should we consider this then to be a rant about the FO? Are they really any different than any other FO as regards the relationship with the manager and who the fall guy is?

          • package206

            No it is not a rant but an explanation of what I have said the whole time. Yes, I believe that Donnie is pretty much the same type of manager that is in the MLB but this FO is a whole lot different in my opinion.

          • john galt

            Can’t agree, Package. This is a good team, better than last year’s, but they’re under-performing. If Mattingly can’t get them to play up to their capability, then he pays the price. Sic Semper Baseball.

          • package206

            One thing is certain, the Dodgers won 92 games in 2013 and 94 in 2014. I would not call a lesser season success. If you say those teams were not as good, how did Donnie get that kind of performance from those teams?

      • WBBsAs

        Except, of course, that this a better roster than last year’s, even in the absence of Ryu – the only player who’s really missed.

        • Bob_Hendley

          Not to speak of the counterfactual (i.e, if they had kept Kemp and Hanley), both short term and long term this club would not be in very good shape.

          • package206

            Of course that is all subjective just as my opinions.

          • WBBsAs

            Actually, it’s supported by empirical evidence.

          • WBBsAs

            Especially if the way Hanley and Kemp have performed this year is indicative of the future, which it probably is.

        • package206

          Guess we will have to wait to find out which teams are better?

          • Bob_Hendley

            That doesn’t sound like fun! (we are one win ahead of last year’s pace).

          • package206

            True but the team will have to go 52-34 the rest of the way to acheive last years record.

          • Bob_Hendley

            And?

          • package206

            And?

  • WBBsAs

    From former DTer nsxtasy, Dee Gordon’s month-by-month OPS:

    Apr 2015 .902
    May 2015 .806
    Jun 2015 .698

  • john galt

    Pederson, CF
    Kendrick, 2B
    Gonzalez, 1B
    Puig, RF
    Grandal, C
    Ethier, LF
    Callaspo, 3B
    Rollins, SS
    Greinke, P

  • NPUT